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Scenario A. Short but ugly. The government follows primarily a noninterventionist policy. It does not waste precious public resources in the bailout of failed institutions of the private sector. It does not seek to artificially support the stock market. It does not flood the banking system with excess amounts of money or slash taxes indiscriminately. Nor does it impose foreign exchange controls to prevent a currency collapse and the flight of capital. Instead, it focuses almost entirely on meaningful structural reforms to restore investor and consumer confidence. Leaders provide full and honest disclosure regarding the severity of the decline and the potential pain it may cause. Consequences: Due to massive debts, poor liquidity, and the interlocking nature of complex contractual obligations, a ripple of financial and nonfinancial corporate bankruptcies temporarily paralyzes the global economy. U.S. stocks decline by approximately the same magnitude as they did in 1929 32. Vicious circles drive the economy into a 3- to 5-year depression. Unemployment exceeds 10 percent. Liquidity temporarily disappears in major financial markets even with many widely owned securities, such as blue-chip stocks and long-term government bonds. In order to end the crisis, a national banking and market holiday may be needed for up to a week or two. However, a healthy recovery ensues within a reasonable time frame. Scenario B. Long and choppy. Fearful of a broader collapse, the government intervenes aggressively and frequently in a protracted battle against the decline. It periodically bails out banks, brokerage firms, and other corporations deemed essential to the fabric of the financial system. It seeks to directly and indirectly support the financial markets with massive buy operations of common stocks and corporate bonds. It floods the banking system with cash and cuts taxes wildly. It imposes stringent foreign exchange

There are two possibilities for this lack of procedural disclosure First, it may that formal procedures or computational algorithms do not exist yet for converting interview and questionnaire data into mental model diagrams In this case, the reliability of the method may be suspect; depending on the analyst, aggregate expert models of the same phenomenon might look quite different in structure and content Given the same inputs and the assumption that the aggregate model represents the real world as it exists today, it is dif cult to explain how aggregate models may differ between analysts Certainly differences between models cannot be explained by saying Analyst A (along with his/her expert informants) lives in a world that works in one way, while Analyst B (along with the same informants Analyst A has) lives in a world that works in a different way.

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the image. (You can either manually drag the leaf or use your arrows keys.) Now that all your ducks are in a row, it s time to add the shadow.

with you are stronger now than at any time before, and those options continue to expand. It would be nice if the open-mindedness of record companies would expand accordingly so that they would sign more acts that offered alternatives to the me-too sameness of so much music today. But perhaps digital music will help in that regard, as well, giving artists greater access to new and specialized audiences. Whatever happens, rest assured that your PC will be along for the ride, with Windows offering solid, useful, and well-featured programs like today s Windows Media Player. But look past Media Player as well, to players, rippers, and organizers from other companies. If you re into music, you ll want to find the best possible programs for your needs.

The opportunity for experimenter bias makes the reliability of analyses fair at best A second possibility why procedures are not elaborated may be proprietary In this case, the merits of RCID cannot be compared to those of others diagram-based methods if its procedures are formalized but deliberately undisclosed Even the best elaboration of the RCID method (Morgan et al, 2002) provides little on how frequency counts of concepts mentioned in semi-structured interviews (a primary data source for RCID) are used to inform the diagram s structure or the degree to which the process is standardized Lastly, a casual review of available diagram examples from the literature cited in this section suggests sizable variability in how mental models are represented Some identify superordinate-level concepts as large sections of the in uence diagram; others identify the most general concepts using the same node representation as more speci c sub-category concepts.

The parallel lines on the cylinder are called tessellation lines. These lines help you to visualize curved surfaces. They aren t actually part of the cylinder; for example, you can t use object snaps on them. To add thickness to an existing 2D object, display the Properties palette (Ctrl+1) and select the object. (You can also select the object first.) In the palette, click the Thickness property and change the number in the Thickness text box. Press Enter.